RATES FLAT DESPITE MORE NEGATIVE ECONOMIC DATA
Mortgage interest rates were mostly flat this past week despite continued negative economic data. Today’s January employment report showed that the unemployment rate jumped from 7.2% in December to 7.6% in January. This is the highest unemployment rate in 16 years. Non-Farm Payrolls declined 598,000 on expectations that they
would decline by 500,000. This is the largest monthly decline since December of 1974. Weekly jobless claims increased 35,000 on expectations that they would increase only 4,000. December Personal Income was down 0.2% and Spending was down 1.0%. The ISM Manufacturing and Services Sector indices were slightly better than expected but both indices still showed contraction within their respective sectors.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently at 8,221, up over 200 points on the week. Crude oil futures are currently trading at just over $39 per barrel, down over $2 per barrel on the week. The Senate may vote on the stimulus package today.
Next week look toward Wednesday’s International Trade Report, Thursday’s Retail Sales and weekly jobless claims, and Friday’s Consumer Sentiment Index as potential market moving events.



